Kansas City Chiefs (-3) open as favorites over Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl LV
azazel ha scritto: ↑25/01/2021, 4:20
Linea aperta a KC -3.5, per me è un regalo.
The Kansas City Chiefs opened as consensus 3-point favorites over Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl LV. The line was trending up Sunday night, with some sportsbooks moving to Kansas City -3.5.
Barring significant line movement, it will be only the second time Brady has been an underdog in his 10 Super Bowl appearances. In his Super Bowl debut, Brady and the Patriots were 14-point underdogs against the St. Louis Rams in 2002, a game New England won outright.
Sono andato a ripescare un vecchio articolo di un paio di settimane fa che spiega un po' la situazione generale:
Kansas City Chiefs enter playoffs as Super Bowl favorite; Tampa Bay Buccaneers biggest liability for some sportsbooks
On New Year's Day, bookmaker William Hill U.S. took a six-figure bet on the Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl, but the defending champions are not the sportsbook's biggest concern heading into the playoffs.
The worst-case scenario for several bookmakers is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers winning the Super Bowl.
"Buccaneers winning the Super Bowl would 100% be the worst-case scenario for us," Nick Bogdanovich, director of trading for William Hill U.S., said in a post on the bookmaker's website. "We're in pretty good shape with most of the teams, but the Bucs are a big loser."
The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook and BetMGM also reported significant liabilities on the Buccaneers, a lot of it accruing before the season, when Tampa Bay added Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski.
There has been recent interest in the Buccaneers as well. William Hill reported taking a $40,000 bet on the Buccaneers to win the Super Bowl at 12-1 on Saturday. As of Wednesday morning, it's the second-largest Super Bowl futures wager placed with the bookmaker, behind only a $115,000 bet on the Chiefs that was placed Friday in Nevada.
The Chiefs have attracted the most bets and most money in William Hill's Super Bowl futures market.
Credo che lo spread così basso (io avrei dato almeno un paio di punti in più di vantaggio ai Chiefs) sia dovuto anche alla forte esposizione delle futures bets in caso di vittoria dei Buccaneers. Secondo me puntano ad attirare il 65/70% dei soldi sullo spread dei Chiefs, così da essere parzialmente coperti in caso di vittoria dei Bucs e viceversa. Se così fosse, la cosa migliore per loro sarebbe la vittoria straight up dei Chiefs senza la copertura dello spread. In quel caso sarebbe davvero un capolavoro.